BIG MARLEY’S UFC 236 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This weekend, we have a 13-fight PPV card at Atlanta. DraftKings has some solid competitions for us to win a lot of money from this week and that I can not wait to chase these big prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy and $30k goes to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that competition and they’ll compete for a $50k first place cost and $175k will probably be spread out between all 100 entries that qualify. I will try to get my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if possible. Those Qualifier only contests can be real bankroll suckers therefore be careful chasing those overly hard. I will likely stick to the top GPP this week and toss 100 or so entries at the $30k prize, and then I will probably have a few shots at the Q. I will also be publishing H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic amount of play into money games.
With that said, let’s get into a couple plays I like this week along with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the first thing I did when wages were published. I put both of these fighters in my money lineup and I started building from there. I expect this to be one of the best fights of all time and I believe we get ~200 complete DK points from this struggle, and the guaranteed win. I’m okay with taking the loss when I can guarantee myself over 100 points with the stack, but I think 150 is a secure projection for this struggle and if we can lock up 3 additional wins we should win the majority of our cash games. Like I always saywe don’t want 6 wins for money games so there’s really no need to chase it. Just lock in a secure lineup which you believe will score more than 400 total points and you should win more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP drama of the week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP drama of the week since he is the definition of bust or boom. He loses or scores over 100 DK points. That is what we want in GPPs. This is not a confident choice in him winning it is only a shot at his ceiling which is what we look for in the big GPPs where we’re trying to acquire the top $30k prize. Krylov has finished all 24 of his own wins and he’s only seen the 3rd around once in his career. This is a great fight to target on either side, but I am taking Krylov for the win and I will have a fantastic amount of exposure to him this weekend.
Underdog play of the week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I needed to place Poirier here. I love his floor and I believe he’s a live underdog. But IF he wins, he will 100 percent wind up on the 1st place lineup in his $7.1k price-tag. He is likely to score over 100 DK points if he is able to find a success here and that is what we are pursuing in GPPs. Even if you believe Max is going to dominate Poirier I think you ought to possess 1 hedge lineup utilizing Poirier, and this can be an all-in fight for me. Every lineup I construct will begin with Dustin or Max and I’ll go on from there. Load up with this battle and be sure to find any Poirier exposure.
Fade of the week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was hard to pick a fade of this week this week since I think you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to choose a favorite though and I feel that the favored with one of those lower ceilings is Salmon. I am picking him to win but he won’t be heading for any takedowns and if he does not get a finish he probably does not pay off his $8.6k price tag. I want at least 10x (86-points) if I am rostering somebody and I don’t see him getting that unless he gets a knockout. Taha is hard so that I really don’t observe the knockout occurring. I believe Salmon does make a unanimous decision win here but it likely scores in the 70’s and that will not win us the big $30k. That’s why he is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and decent luck this weekend! If you would like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link too. I am 66-41 to get +220.23un (+$22,023) since May 19th on Premium Plays)

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